
Originally Posted by
Suichimo
Games in production won't stop Sony from releasing a new console. There are still games in production for the PS2 and there has even been a huge AAA title released for it recently, Persona 4. Sony and Nintendo should have their new consoles out around 2012, that is the five year mark. Your figure for Microsoft is pretty much right though.
Just for a more informed idea, I'll put up the release dates of consoles from the current makers to their successor.
Nintendo
NES > SNES - 7/6 years (Japan 1983-1990/US 1985-1991)
SNES > N64 - 6/5 years (Japan 1990-1996/US 1991-1996)
N64 > GC - 5 years (1996-2001)
GC > Wii - 5 years (2001-2006)
Wii > Wii2 - Should be about 5-6 years (2006-2011/12)
Sony
Playstation > PS2 - 6/5 years (Japan 1994-2000/US 1995-2000)
PS2 > PS3 - 6 years (2000-2006)
PS3 > PS4 - Should be about 6 years (2006-2012)
Microsoft
Xbox > Xbox 360 - 3/4 years (Japan 2002-2005/US 2001-2005)
Xbox 360 > Xbox 720 - Assuming Microsoft doesn't race out the door again, 5 years (2005-2010)
Those are pretty much my guesses based on the data we have. I'd be surprised if they were off by more than one year. As I already noted, I'd be surprised if we don't hear anything about the next console cycle at this year's E3 or TGS.
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